Arizona vs. Weber State

For complete national player ratings/rankings: http://hoopsnerd.com//?p=191

For a general explanation of what I’m doing with the write ups: http://hoopsnerd.com//?page_id=194

HnI & per 40 minute averages of the players for this game:

Player Team Cla %Min HnI Pt/40 Rb/40 As/40 St/40 Bk/40 TO/40 TS%
Nick Johnson Arizona Jr. 0.804 157 20.0 4.9 3.4 1.4 0.8 2.1 0.551
T.J. McConnell Arizona Jr. 0.788 147 10.7 4.6 6.9 2.2 0.3 2.3 0.534
Aaron Gordon Arizona Fr. 0.765 143 15.7 10.1 2.4 1.1 1.1 1.8 0.486
Brandon Ashley Arizona So. 0.443 138 16.6 8.3 1.4 0.9 1.1 2.4 0.588
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson Arizona Fr. 0.619 138 13.7 9.2 2.3 1.1 1.5 1.9 0.512
Kaleb Tarczewski Arizona So. 0.661 134 14.2 9.3 0.7 0.1 1.2 2.5 0.628
Davion Berry Weber St. Sr. 0.813 131 23.1 5.2 4.8 1.2 0.2 3.4 0.631
Matt Korcheck Arizona Jr. 0.065 129 9.8 12.0 0.9 0.9 2.2 2.2 0.647
Gabe York Arizona So. 0.521 126 12.9 4.2 2.9 0.8 0.2 1.1 0.529
Kyle Tresnak Weber St. Sr. 0.670 105 17.3 7.0 1.1 0.7 2.7 2.1 0.621
Joel Bolomboy Weber St. So. 0.708 98 11.6 14.5 0.7 0.6 1.1 2.0 0.564
Jeremy Senglin Weber St. Fr. 0.737 92 14.9 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.3 2.0 0.599
Jordan Richardson Weber St. Sr. 0.710 87 9.9 3.2 3.4 0.7 0.1 2.4 0.523
Richaud Gittens Weber St. Fr. 0.556 86 12.0 5.3 4.0 1.0 0.4 3.3 0.529
Jordin Mayes Arizona Sr. 0.121 83 9.6 3.8 3.8 2.2 0.0 2.6 0.396
Elliott Pitts Arizona Fr. 0.128 83 8.2 4.3 1.4 0.9 0.0 1.4 0.545
Kyndahl Hill Weber St. Fr. 0.456 80 10.4 7.6 1.0 0.5 1.1 1.9 0.578
Royce Williams Weber St. Jr. 0.189 72 10.9 4.0 2.8 0.3 0.3 1.7 0.583

Obviously Ashley is out for the season.

Rating breakdowns of the players:

Player Team Cla Min? HnI Sco 2pt FT 3pt Reb BH Df
Nick Johnson Arizona Jr. 34 157 108 43 35 30 24 16 17
T.J. McConnell Arizona Jr. 33 147 55 33 6 16 22 53 22
Aaron Gordon Arizona Fr. 32 143 70 55 10 6 54 8 15
Brandon Ashley Arizona So. 0 138 97 58 27 12 45 -9 8
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson Arizona Fr. 27 138 66 41 25 0 52 5 17
Kaleb Tarczewski Arizona So. 30 134 89 58 31 0 50 -18 3
Davion Berry Weber St. Sr. 34 131 110 34 47 30 18 14 7
Matt Korcheck Arizona Jr. 6 129 63 39 23 0 65 -13 15
Gabe York Arizona So. 23 126 66 2 11 52 21 21 5
Kyle Tresnak Weber St. Sr. 28 105 81 64 17 0 28 -7 16
Joel Bolomboy Weber St. So. 30 98 49 26 22 1 59 -9 6
Jeremy Senglin Weber St. Fr. 30 92 67 15 15 37 10 10 5
Jordan Richardson Weber St. Sr. 29 87 38 3 8 27 11 10 2
Richaud Gittens Weber St. Fr. 23 86 46 19 13 14 19 8 5
Jordin Mayes Arizona Sr. 6 83 26 10 17 -1 20 15 15
Elliott Pitts Arizona Fr. 9 83 43 6 1 36 22 1 1
Kyndahl Hill Weber St. Fr. 19 80 45 24 13 8 32 -7 -1
Royce Williams Weber St. Jr. 7 72 48 6 9 33 13 10 -3

 

The team breakdowns by the optimal lineups:

HnI Sco 2pt FT 3pt Reb BH Df
Arizona 137 73 38 19 16 37 13 13
Weber St. 98 64 26 20 18 25 4 6

Pomeroy has Arizona by 17.  The optimal lineups above (Min?) work out to Arizona winning by +21.0.

And, yes, I re-did a lineup with Brandon Ashley, to see how much my ratings say his injury hurts Arizona.  With Ashley at full strength, I got Arizona winning by +23.1.  So, his loss costs Arizona just over two points.

Dan

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *