Sweet 16: Florida vs. UCLA

Once again, don’t have the time to write much of anything for the games – spent all my spare time the last 36 hours on (this will lead each game write up):

the NCAA Tourney player performance rankings,

the complete national player ratings/rankings (thru 3-25, 3064 players ranked),

a place to go for a simpler ranking with per game stats of all the remaining guys, the Sweet 16 player rankings,

and the Sweet 16 predicted game outcomes based on optimized lineups –  and since I won’t have time to go over them (1st game starts in 2 hours) please go there if you want to see the predicted game results based on the ratings you’ll see in the individual game write ups.

And finally, for a general explanation of what I’m doing with the write ups (well, player rating break downs is probably more accurate): http://hoopsnerd.com//?page_id=194

HnI & per 40 minute averages of the players for this game:

Player Team Cla GP HnI Mn/g Pt/40 Rb/40 As/40 St/40 Bk/40 TO/40 TS%
Casey Prather Florida Sr. 34 165 28.3 19.9 7.0 2.4 1.5 0.7 3.0 0.626
Kyle Anderson UCLA So. 35 163 33.3 17.7 10.5 7.8 2.1 0.9 3.7 0.564
Jordan Adams UCLA So. 35 159 30.1 23.1 7.1 3.1 3.5 0.2 2.1 0.601
Patric Young Florida Sr. 36 150 26.0 16.8 9.7 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.9 0.552
Michael Frazier II Florida So. 36 144 30.2 16.6 4.6 1.5 1.5 0.3 1.5 0.646
Scottie Wilbekin Florida Sr. 31 143 33.6 15.6 3.1 4.4 1.9 0.0 2.1 0.542
Chris Walker Florida Fr. 15 137 5.1 14.0 10.9 0.5 1.0 3.6 1.0 0.551
Dorian Finney-Smith Florida So. 34 135 25.5 14.1 10.5 3.2 0.6 0.7 2.7 0.481
Kasey Hill Florida Fr. 29 127 22.2 10.0 3.2 5.4 2.3 0.3 2.7 0.482
Norman Powell UCLA Jr. 36 126 25.6 18.0 4.4 2.7 2.1 0.6 1.6 0.610
Will Yeguete Florida Sr. 36 123 23.4 8.4 8.7 2.0 1.7 0.3 2.0 0.496
Bryce Alford UCLA Fr. 36 116 23.2 14.1 3.1 4.8 1.4 0.2 2.3 0.559
Zach Lavine UCLA Fr. 36 116 24.4 15.6 4.2 3.0 1.5 0.3 1.9 0.547
Travis Wear UCLA Sr. 33 115 23.7 11.9 5.4 2.5 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.580
Tony Parker UCLA So. 36 114 17.4 15.9 10.3 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.2 0.579
David Wear UCLA Sr. 36 109 22.9 11.4 6.6 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.5 0.583
DeVon Walker Florida So. 32 96 12.6 8.4 4.1 1.9 1.3 1.2 2.0 0.472

 

Rating breakdowns of the players (M? is the minute prediction from which the optimized ratings breakdown is based):

Player Team Cla M? HnI Sco 2pt FT 3pt Reb BH Df
Casey Prather Florida Sr. 32 165 128 92 34 2 40 -4 18
Kyle Anderson UCLA So. 36 163 79 36 26 16 40 39 23
Jordan Adams UCLA So. 32 159 110 49 37 25 31 11 29
Patric Young Florida Sr. 30 150 94 73 21 0 57 -6 15
Michael Frazier II Florida So. 32 144 110 13 14 83 23 1 16
Scottie Wilbekin Florida Sr. 35 143 85 16 25 44 14 29 18
Chris Walker Florida Fr. 6 137 78 82 -4 0 61 -5 23
Dorian Finney-Smith Florida So. 28 135 64 22 19 23 60 8 5
Kasey Hill Florida Fr. 24 127 45 30 20 -5 15 34 21
Norman Powell UCLA Jr. 30 126 87 55 24 8 18 11 17
Will Yeguete Florida Sr. 13 123 40 23 17 0 47 1 14
Bryce Alford UCLA Fr. 25 116 62 6 24 32 11 24 11
Zach Lavine UCLA Fr. 18 116 67 26 11 30 16 11 9
Travis Wear UCLA Sr. 28 115 55 37 7 10 23 16 8
Tony Parker UCLA So. 18 114 73 65 8 0 46 -15 5
David Wear UCLA Sr. 13 109 53 28 10 16 29 -1 5
DeVon Walker Florida So. 96 37 2 11 24 22 1 19

 

Team breakdowns based on the optimal lineups (M?):

HnI Sco 2pt FT 3pt Reb BH Df
Florida 143.2 86.4 41.3 21.4 23.6 36.3 8.6 15.5
UCLA 132.1 76.3 38.6 20.6 17.1 27.0 15.2 15.4

 

Dan

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