Again, still too early – team ratings still a bit unreliable for probably another three weeks. But, that’s ok, gonna rank the players anyway.
I put together a spreadsheet with ALL the stats & ratings for every qualified Pac 12 player (min 64 minutes played – 102 players in all). All completely sortable. Note two sheets on the spreadsheet, the second ranking all 102 players by all 7 rating skill sets – so 714 spots of ranking in total:
I do quite a bit of lineup optimization work that I never post – part of why I’m showing the rating breakdowns in greater detail (for those who think I’m married to some single rating – not telling the larger story of a player). I also converted the ratings into a points added value to HOPEFULLY make it easier for the average fan to understand.
So, now anyone can put together any combination of 5 player lineup they’d like from the info I give – and see where the lineup’s weaknesses & strengths may be.
For those that don’t want to see ALL the rankings in their gory detail, here’s the top 10 with the basic per game stats (HnR: 100 D1 average, 115 Pac 12 average):
|4||175||Gary Payton||SR||Oregon St.||34.7||16.4||8.1||4.9||3.3||1.1||2.6||0.587|
Here’s the top 22 best Pac 12 skill sets by points added (the top in every skill set represented):
|Points Added to Average Pac 12 Lineup (70 possessions) by Skill Set|
|Rank||Player||Cla||Team||PtAdd||Statistical Skill Set|
|1||Jakob Poeltl||SO||Utah||9.4||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|2||Savon Goodman||JR||ASU||8.9||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|3||Stephen Thompson Jr.||FR||Oregon St.||8.0||Three Point Production (3pt)|
|4||Brandon Taylor||SR||Utah||7.0||None Box Score Adjustment (Int)|
|5||Josh Scott||SR||Colorado||6.8||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|6||Ivan Rabb||FR||Cal||6.6||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|7||Thomas Welsh||SO||UCLA||6.1||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|8||Jordan Loveridge||SR||Utah||5.8||Three Point Production (3pt)|
|9||Dusan Ristic||SO||Arizona||5.7||Rebounding (Reb)|
|10||Andrew Andrews||SR||Washington||5.6||Free Throw Production (FT)|
|11||Gabe York||SR||Arizona||5.2||Three Point Production (3pt)|
|12||Michael Humphrey||SO||Stanford||5.2||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|13||Elliott Pitts||JR||Arizona||5.1||None Box Score Adjustment (Int)|
|14||Conor Clifford||JR||WSU||5.0||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|15||Drew Eubanks||FR||Oregon St.||5.0||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|16||Josh Hawkinson||JR||WSU||4.9||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|17||Dwayne Benjamin||SR||Oregon||4.9||Three Point Production (3pt)|
|18||Tony Parker||SR||UCLA||4.8||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|19||Ryan Anderson||SR||Arizona||4.6||Two Point Production (2pt)|
|20||Tony Parker||SR||UCLA||4.6||Rebounding (Reb)|
|21||Valentine Izundu||JR||WSU||4.5||Defensive Stops & Fouls (Def)|
|22||Parker Jackson-Cartwright||SO||Arizona||4.5||Assists & Turnovers (BH)|
That none box score adjustment (Int as a header, “intangibles”) is a way to quantify the expected unknown value of a player not represented by his per minute production. High production guys who don’t play massive minutes will be negative as their overall rating is regressed closer to team mean (Maybe poor defender? Mediocre cardio? Injury prone?). Big minute guys with poor per production will be positive here as their rating relative to playing time is regressed toward team rating, the assumption being they must be doing things well not represented in the box score (Lock down or great team defender? Hustle, glue guy coach loves?).
Anyway, I’m trying to find the best way to present player rankings before I get into the complete national rankings (where about 3000 players will be ranked) in a few weeks. I feel I may be getting closer to how my national ranking spreadsheets will look. Let me know what you think.